Guesstimates
Wet paddy intake at a Palakkad mill
Estimate tonnes per harvest window and explain the boundary, assumptions and range.
Start with 24 supplier villages and 18 harvest delivery days. Estimate tonnes per 100 village-days before revealing the model.
Reveal the worked estimate
Multiply the two base factors by the rate divided by 100. All figures below are simulated teaching assumptions.
- Low · 24 × 18 × 130 ÷ 100 ≈ 562 tonnes per harvest window
- Base · 24 × 18 × 220 ÷ 100 ≈ 950 tonnes per harvest window
- High · 24 × 18 × 340 ÷ 100 ≈ 1,469 tonnes per harvest window
Cross-check · Check weighbridge totals and daily truck capacity. Peak deliveries may determine dryer needs.