Guesstimates
Beverage orders from independent cafés in Jaipur
Estimate cases per quarter and explain the boundary, assumptions and range.
Start with 120 serviced cafés and 13 selling weeks. Estimate cases per 100 café-weeks before revealing the model.
Reveal the worked estimate
Multiply the two base factors by the rate divided by 100. All figures below are simulated teaching assumptions.
- Low · 120 × 13 × 80 ÷ 100 ≈ 1,248 cases per quarter
- Base · 120 × 13 × 160 ÷ 100 ≈ 2,496 cases per quarter
- High · 120 × 13 × 250 ÷ 100 ≈ 3,900 cases per quarter
Cross-check · Sample supplier invoices and exclude café chains outside the route.