EMPERIOStrategy & Research Lab
Case room

Choose a growth path for Faridabad fasteners

Before the decision

Existing buyers request related parts in the same tender, while prospects demand local reps. The sales head wants deeper relationships with current buyers. The inventory lead warns that each extra specification occupies working capital whether it appears on tenders or only in catalogues.

The problem

Should the team choose Adjacent product line or New account coverage for the next 12 months?

Decision owner: The business unit lead.

The adjacent line ties up stock in many slow-moving specifications.

Option economics

Scroll the table to see all figures.

Simulated inputs for 12 months
OptionVolume (orders)₹ per unitFixed costNet contribution
Adjacent product line36,000480₹115 lakh₹57.8 lakh
New account coverage41,000370₹86 lakh₹65.7 lakh

Make the call

  1. Calculate net contribution for Adjacent product line and New account coverage. Which assumption makes the comparison most fragile?
  2. If the leading option delivers 10% fewer orders, does your recommendation change?
  3. What evidence would you ask for before the team makes an irreversible commitment?
Reveal the worked solution

Start by validating New account coverage. It contributes ₹65.7 lakh after fixed costs and leads by ₹7.9 lakh. Treat that gap as the amount of unmodelled cost or lost contribution the option can absorb before the ranking reverses.

  1. Frame the decision

    Separate sales that are incremental from sales shifted out of an existing channel. Include the support and fulfilment needed to keep new customers.

  2. Calculate both options

    Adjacent product line: 36,000 orders × ₹480 less ₹115 lakh in fixed costs gives ₹57.8 lakh. New account coverage: 41,000 orders × ₹370 less ₹86 lakh in fixed costs gives ₹65.7 lakh.

  3. Stress-test the forecast

    New account coverage leads by ₹7.9 lakh in the base case. If New account coverage delivers 10% fewer orders (36,900) at the same margin and fixed cost, it contributes ₹50.53 lakh. Holding the other option constant, the stressed result falls behind. This isolates volume risk. Check whether both options would respond to the same change in demand.

  4. Set a decision threshold

    Holding the other option’s result fixed, New account coverage needs at least 38,865 orders to match or beat it under the model. Measure order attachment and slow-moving inventory by part family.

The adjacent line ties up stock in many slow-moving specifications. Compare the cost of a limited test with the loss the business would face if the full commitment failed. Ask the team to agree the decision criterion before collecting more evidence.

What if the whole market moves?

The worked solution tests a change to one option at a time. Here, both options gain or lose the same percentage of volume. Unit contribution and fixed costs stay constant.

Simulated contribution after fixed costs
Volume scenarioAdjacent product lineNew account coverageHigher contribution
Both lose 10% of volume₹40.52 lakh₹50.53 lakhNew account coverage
Base assumptions₹57.8 lakh₹65.7 lakhNew account coverage
Both gain 10% of volume₹75.08 lakh₹80.87 lakhNew account coverage

Explain which option you would take forward. Check whether capacity, price or customer mix would also change as the market moves.

Review the underlying lesson

Practise this case as an interview